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Kentucky Derby Primer: Odds, the Favorite, Darkhorses, and a Winning Ticket

05 May 2018

"The yet-unnamed colt had a drop-dead gorgeous conformation, plus a first-class mind, as evidenced by how he handled the Keeneland sale experience", the Kentucky Derby reported in a story on its website.

So much of the hype around horses depends on their past results, but this is a case where it seems like he's not yet hit his full potential.

Sassy Sienna - 15-1 Morning Line - In her last race the Fantasy Stakes a grade 3 race at Oaklawn Park she was a victor by a nose which was her first stakes win in 5 tries. The horse moving the best on that turn is often the victor. "I really like Bolt d'Oro [ridden by Triple Crown winner Victor Espinoza] ... there's something about Bolt that fits the Derby - he is the type of horse where nothing bothers him, his trainer says you have to wake him up from a nap for the race". Seven other horses are going off at 12-1 odds or lower. Every little thing counts when breaking down these races. She won the Gulfstream Park Oaks by 1 and a half-length. My Boy Jack, who won the G3 Lexington, would have been better served to have not run a mere 3 weeks ago, but was in the precarious spot of possibly needing more Derby points or risk missing the race.

The co-fourth choices are 8-1: Audible and Bolt d'Oro. Here's a look at the complete field along with their odds, according to OddsShark, and some of the most interesting odds to keep an eye on as race day approaches. The horse is one of four of Fletchers' in the 20 horse field. I will not be using her but wouldn't shock if she showed up on the board.

Demling is especially high on a monumental long shot that would net any backer a colossal windfall.

"Obviously the next time it's going to be a far tougher question, there's no doubt about that, but we're very happy with what he's done and I still feel he will get better", Moore said last month in Dubai.

Wonder Gadot - 20-1 Morning Line - Wonder Woman fans will be backing this horse which is a combo of Wonder Woman and the actress who played Wonder Woman Gal Gadot.

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"It's the first time he's been in front today and he's still a horse that's learning, so he was still a bit green in places", said Moore, who is skipping the 2,000 Guineas at Newmarket, England to ride in Kentucky. Justify didn't race as a two-year-old, and no horse has won the Derby after taking a year off since Apollo accomplished the feat in 1882.

With homebred Hofburg, Juddmonte turns to another Hall of Famer in trainer Bill Mott.

"I'm hoping that even just by watching the race, viewers take away some information on the sport", she added. Highly unlikely but anything is possible.

Monomoy Girl is the 2-1 favorite in the 1 1/8 mile race and will start from the outside post.

Pletcher won past year with Always Dreaming. The victor of the Dubai Gold Cup, Mendelssohn is the No. 2 favorite at 5-1. One to watch for sure. Justify and Mendelssohn will be the post time favorites and deserve a closer look.

Patrona Margarita - 30-1 Morning Line - Another favorite of some fans because it is nearly like a hybrid of something from Harry Potter and a drink.

"Sit just right behind the speed and turning for home I'd like to be on the lead, " Casse told, referring to his ideal setup for the race.

Kentucky Derby Primer: Odds, the Favorite, Darkhorses, and a Winning Ticket