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Exit polls in India hint at victory for premier's party

10 March 2017

Two out of five exit polls on Thursday showed the BJP close to a majority in UP, which would make the Samajwadi Party-Congress alliance in the state uncomfortable.

So, what do the exit polls predict for Uttar Pradesh?

Not only do they call Uttar Pradesh, the most important prize in this round of state polls, in favour of the BJP, the exit polls also project the BJP as the victor in Uttarakhand, Goa and Manipur. Congress, on the other hand, may get 10-15 seats while AAP may get restricted to only four seats despite a forceful campaign. Other getting between 6 and 16 seats.

The ABP-CSDS has predicted a hung assembly in Uttar Pradesh with the Bharatiya Janata Party emerging as the single largest party. Ruling party in Goa, BJP has been expecting to regain its seat in the state, while the first-time contender, AAP is trying to gain momentum.

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It's miserable performance in the Delhi government and the erosion of its reputation in Punjab as a result of widespread allegations of corruption and other misdemeanours had led to AAP losing the advantage it had seized in Punjab during the 2014 Lok Sabha polls, said the Congress leader.

While the BJP could get between 17-25 seats, Congress can get anywhere between 25-35 seats. However, the BSP is expected to have performed slightly better than in 2012, winning 90 seats, up from 80 in 2012. Until they were out, an average of the polls still suggested that the BJP would need help reaching the halfway mark, with a projected average seat share of around 180. While, the SAD-BJP led current government is facing the incumbency factor, it's very hard to predict who will get the throne in Punjab. If BJP does manage to stage a comeback, it will be yet another setback for the Congress whose presence is constantly declining from the states that were once considered its strongholds. So, the repoll in these constituencies can affect the exit poll prediction of the state. The Poll of Polls reveal a clear defeat for BSP letting the political outfit to manage just 77 seats. The incumbent Akali Dal-BJP alliance was predicted to be staring at a virtual decimation with only 7 seats in the 117-member Assembly.

India Today projected 18-22 seats for the BJP in 40-seat Goa Assembly followed by the Congress with 9-13 seats. As for India Today-Axis, the BJP is forming government in UP, Uttarakhand, Goa and Manipur.

Exit polls in India hint at victory for premier's party